Population projections

Population Projections by Age for Florida and its Counties: Assessing Accuracy and the Impact of Adjustments

Projections of total population have been evaluated extensively, but few studies have
investigated the performance of projections by age. Of those that did, most focused on
projections for countries or other large areas. In this article, we evaluate projections by age for
Florida and its counties, as produced and published between 1996 and 2010 by the Bureau of
Economic and Business Research (BEBR) at the University of Florida. We first compare the
precision and bias of projections of total population with the precision and bias of projections by

Publication Date: 
10/01/2014
Author(s): 
Rayer, Stefan; Smith, Stanley K.
Pages: 
45 pages

Population Studies Methodology

The Population Studies Program makes population estimates for counties and all incorporated cities in Florida and population projections by age, sex, race and Hispanic origin for the state and each county. These estimates and projections are used for a wide variety of planning, budgeting, and analytical purposes by state and local government agencies, businesses, research analysts, the media, and members of the general public. The links shown below provide descriptions of the data and techniques used to produce these estimates and projections.  

Recession brings diversity to Sarasota

An unexpected outgrowth of the worst recession in 70 years: Sarasota has quietly become more cosmopolitan.

While hard times discouraged Midwesterners and New Englanders from moving here, more Peruvians, Italians, Brazilians, Ukranians and many others made the Gulf Coast home.

Commercial Connection: SW Florida must pull together on the basics

The Great Recession of 2008 is officially over, according to a panel of economists from the National Bureau of Economic Research, a widely accepted arbiter of business cycles. In fact, the recession reached its "trough" (end of the decline and the subsequent beginning of the rise) in June 2009.

History and economic patterns remind us that immediately following a trough, declining periods are categorized as expansion periods in which markets level, stabilize, prepare for growth, and no doubt, create opportunity.

Orange expected to lead Florida growth

Emptiness is what people see today when they drive through the monogrammed iron gates of Lake Drawdy Reserve in east Orange County. There are paved cul-de-sacs, lakefront lots and fancy frosted-glass streetlights. But nobody lives there.

Thirty years from now, they will likely see 28 upscale homes occupied by young families, residents from abroad, refugees from coastal counties, in-migrants from other states and well-to-do retirees.

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