Federal Reserve's Leading Indicator Index

The goal of the Philly Fed's leading index is to predict the six month growth rate of it's coincident index. The most recent data effects more than just the current monthly forecast, hence the leading index for previous months is constantly changing. The coincident indices are released monthly for each state and the US, with each set to a value of 100 for July 1992. Note that many of the components in Philly Fed index do overlap with other listed indicators, but for the benefit of our users we provide as much data as possible.

The components of this index are: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, the interest rate spread between the 10-year Tre
Indicator Unit: 
Philadelphia Federal Reserve.