Demography

Sarasota and Charlotte still tops for 85+ in Florida

More than anywhere in Florida, you are more likely to see an 85-year-old face in Sarasota County than one belonging to an infant or toddler.

New Census data shows Sarasota and Charlotte counties are No. 1 and No. 2 in the state for their percentage of residents 85 or older.

Recession brings diversity to Sarasota

An unexpected outgrowth of the worst recession in 70 years: Sarasota has quietly become more cosmopolitan.

While hard times discouraged Midwesterners and New Englanders from moving here, more Peruvians, Italians, Brazilians, Ukranians and many others made the Gulf Coast home.

Statistics show trying times ahead

To get a real sense of just how much hard work has to be done to fire up Escambia County's economy, take a look at the latest numbers from the Florida Statistical Abstract.

This is data drawn from the 2010 U.S. Census results and the Florida Bureau of Economic and Business Research. Overall, Escambia County's economic profile fares poorly when compared with the 25 largest counties in the Sunshine State. These top 25 counties constitute 85 percent of the state's population; Escambia ranks 18th on that list, with a population of in excess of 303,000.

Fla. population shrinking or expanding? Not even movers or demographers agree on stats

MANATEE — Are more people moving out of Florida than moving in from other states?

Yes, one national moving company said in a report released Monday.

No, said another national mover that also released a similar report.

Both are probably right, but it’s more complex than just counting shipments, a state researcher said.

Atlas Van Lines said it handled 4,847 moves into Florida and 5,419 moves out of the state in 2009, the fourth consecutive year that departures outnumbered arrivals for the company.

Fewer migrants flock to Florida

Florida is known as a destination for snowbirds, but new data released by the U.S. Census Bureau hints at a new trend.

The data shows Florida has seen a decline in the number of people who migrate to the state from other states.

In 2005, Florida had an influx of more than 250,000 domestic migrants and was considered a fast-growing state during a mid-decade population boom.

However, the state has recently been suffering losses in domestic migration, losing 9,000 Florida residents in 2008 and 31,000 in 2009 due to out-migration.

Is Boomer boom for real?

Your correspondent believes demographics is destiny.

An easy thing to believe in Florida. A place where population growth -- or its sudden reversal -- can explain almost everything we do. At least those things that are explainable. Not everything is, you know.

So when the U.S. Census Bureau released a compilation of Baby Boomer statistics the other week, he took notice. Boomers are people born during the population burst between 1946-1964.

Population forecast accuracy: Does the choice of summary measure of error matter?

Population projections are judged primarily by their accuracy. The most commonly used measure for the precision component of accuracy is the mean absolute percent error (MAPE). Recently, the MAPE has been criticized for overstating forecast error and other error measures have been proposed. This study compares the MAPE with two alternative measures of forecast error, the Median APE and an M-estimator. In addition, the paper also investigates forecast bias.

Publication Date: 
03/27/2007
Author(s): 
Rayer, Stefan
Pages: 
22 pages

An Evaluation of Subcounty Population Forecasts in Florida

Population forecasts for subcounty areas are used for a wide variety of planning and budgeting purposes. Given the importance of many of these uses, it is essential to investigate which techniques and procedures produce the most accurate forecasts. In this report, we describe several simple trend extrapolation techniques and several averages and composite methods based on those techniques. We evaluate the precision and bias of forecasts derived from these techniques using data from 1970–2005 for subcounty areas in Florida.

Publication Date: 
10/30/2008
Author(s): 
Smith, Stanley K.; Rayer, Stefan
Pages: 
88 pages
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