Demographic Techniques: Small-area Estimates and Projections

Publication Date: 
Tuesday, February 17, 2015

Estimates and projections for small areas are used extensively in the public and private sectors, and demand for them has been growing. Because of population size and data availability issues, estimates and projections for small areas face methodological challenges not commonly encountered at larger geographical scales. This chapter defines “smallness” for estimation and projection purposes; describes the types and sources of data used; discusses the methods for estimating and projecting small-area populations; and assesses recent methodological developments, in particular the impact of GIS and spatial techniques.

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